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Only 6% of Gazans want Hamas to continue ruling Gaza after the war ends, and 5.3% state that they would vote for Hamas again in a future election, according to a new poll published by the Palestinian Institute for Social and Economic Progress (ISEP).
In the poll, which was conducted on January 22, a majority of respondents (67.9%) credited President Trump for the success of the hostage-ceasefire deal.
70% believe that Hamas does not have the power to “control the situation” from now on, although whether “the situation” pertains to the war or Gaza itself is unclear.
When comparing voting opinions before and after the ceasefire started, support for Fatah increased by 12 percentage points, while the proportion who would vote for Hamas increased to 5.3%.
A significant proportion of respondents (44.1%) blamed Hamas entirely for ‘aid diversion,’ of which two-thirds believe is a significant issue in Gaza.
The respondents were also asked about their expectations for an “end to the occupation” before and after the ceasefire deal.
What is the Palestinian Institute for Social and Economic Progress?
According to its website, the ISEP is an independent institute that conducts research in order to help transform the lives of Palestinians. The organization’s aims are for citizens to become more engaged, to “improve governance, and build civic peace.”
The advisory board of the ISEP consists of one individual, Dr. John Garnett, an American history scholar with hardly any online presence.
The ISEP poll used quota sampling to gauge the opinions of 400 respondents from 34 of their pre-war locations in the Deir Al Balah and Khan Younis governorates. The respondents were generally aged 15 or over.
The use of quota sampling means that the respondents were selected non-randomly, and therefore, the results may easily be biased.
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